ПОЛІТИКА НЕРОЗПОВСЮДЖЕННЯ ЯДЕРНОЇ ЗБРОЇ: ІСТОРІЯ ТА СУЧАСНІСТЬ
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Анотація
Стаття містить огляд українських та зарубіжних джерел з питань нерозповсюдження ядерної зброї, взаємопов’язаних з ним проблем ядерного роззброєння та використання «мирного» атому. Наводяться маловідомі факти з історії нерозповсюдження, спроб поставити ядерну енергію під ефективний міжнародний контроль та причини, з яких цього не вдалося зробити. Основний зміст статті складає аналіз ДНЯЗ, МАГАТЕ та споріднених з ними міжнародних режимів і організацій, успіхів та невдач у реалізації політики нерозповсюдження. Констатується, що існує збереження досить стійкого режиму нерозповсюдження з моменту вступу в силу ДНЯЗ – нині налічується тільки дев’ять держав з ядерною зброєю, і ця кількість залишається незмінною протягом останніх 25 років. Режим ДНЯЗ є майже універсальним – 190 держав-учасниць та тільки п’ять залишаються поза ним (Індія, Ізраїль, Північна Корея, Пакистан, Південний Судан). Водночас, згідно з деякими прогнозами, зростає вірогідність становлення світу «поширеного ядерного розповсюдження» до 2030 р. Розглянуто особливості позицій США та РФ в питаннях політики нерозповсюдження ядерної зброї.
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Посилання
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